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That TSLA has rallied year-to-date on falling margins/estimates, soaring inventory, repeated price cuts, weaker brand measures, increased competitive pressures, a significant/damning data leak, politicization of the ...
Covid brought about a lot of changes in the industry and as a result, market shares have shifted. What if these share shifts are permanent? We’ll assess potential winners and losers.
While the structural issues for Industrial Distributors remain, we think the outsized profits for building products suppliers is likely coming to an end…and perhaps a proper downcycle. Some aspects of the thesis, like...
We believe we are in a new regime for global defense spending, with a ‘great powers competition’ increasingly evident. We’ll review the options on offer in the context of a cyclically challenged Industrials sector, with...
Substantial enterprise values remain for the LCIDs, PLUGs, and LAZRs, many of which are on their way to being the next NKLA. Many of the most obviously challenged cyclicals are only...
The catalyst calendar is skewing negative for CHH, and we see downside of 20-25% from here. Hopefully, you can join us for a full deck and presentation of our thesis.
We’ll review the outlook for MP, including IRA support and Stage II/III developments, and update our short view on the steel/industrial metals names in a black book today at 2PM ET. We see MP shares offering ...
Materials thesis on rare earths outside of China...
Our catalysts for a higher share price, including a disinflationary impulse, more resilient long-cycle demand, and IRA subsidies, are better recognized. We like the OC long-term thesis...